Gwynne Dyer

Uno de los mejores nalaistas de Geopolítica en el mundo nos ofrece una mirada aterradora de la realidad estratégicas de un futuro próximo

Un análisis exhaustivo de las consecuencias estratégicas y geopolíticas del cambio climático, escrita por uno de los más reputados expertos en la materia. Uno de los mejores analistas de geopolítica

En esta edición revisada y actualizada de su clásico libro, Gwynne Dyer analiza la verdad sobre la guerra en sus aspectos más brutales, desde nuestro pasado prehistórico hasta el presente golpeado por el terrorismo ecomo nueva forma de guerra. Tan lejos de la desesperacion domo del falso optimismo, Dyer utiliza sis amplios conocimientos como especialista en Historia militar para mirar atentamente el fenomeno que podria matrnos a todos o podria, quizas, llegar a convertirse en un recuerdo.

This modern classic by international journalist and military historian Gwynne Dyer is widely acknowledged as one of the most compelling analyses of armed conflict throughout the ages. Dyer traces the growth of organised warfare from the earliest days of humankind, arguing with neither despair nor false optimism that war as an act of mass violence has remained unchanged. The only real change has been technological. He suggests that the international system, whereby each polity is responsible for its own defence, encourages war to settle disputes about status and influence. Why is this? Why do men and women fight wars? Is it even possible to tame the impulse? Is this "lethal custom" innate, or culturally determined? How might we change? War is essential reading on the way to resolving these eternal questions.

The entity known (in one of many variants) as the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) has come to feature regularly in the news, and in our imaginations. The dreadful, Grand Guignol spectacle of beheadings, abductions, cages, flames and triumphalist proclamations arouses powerful emotions: disgust, rage, hatred, grief, a yearning for vengeance - and the sense that something must be done. Yet, argues veteran political journalist Gwynne Dyer in this short, sharp, new book, the Western tendency is to overreact, time after time, to the threat posed by Islamist terrorists. ISIS is the most repellent of the bunch by far, yet the common perception that it is run by crazed madmen with no coherent strategy is sorely misleading. Even more difficult to accept is that the attacks they perpetrate actually have nothing to do with the West, and do not significantly increase the likelihood of terrorist attacks in Western countries, either; rather, they are designed to use Western overreaction as a stepping stone to seizing power in the states they are trying to overthrow. Intervening militarily will give ISIS precisely what it wants: a glue with which to bind its infernal project more tightly. In failing to recognise the ISIS phenomenon as a revolution calculated to court foreign intervention, the Western countries currently pondering the scale of their response risk playing into the hands of the extremists. The revolution will eat its children, Dyer writes - but only if the West resists the natural urge to do something big, and allows ISIS to play itself out.

An essential, terryfying, and insightful analysis of a world plunging into crisis arrives in mass market paperbackDwindling resources. Massive population shifts. Natural disasters. Any of the expected consequences of climate change could - as Gwyne Dyer argues - tip the world towards chaos and conflict. Bold, unflinching, and based on extensive research, Climate Wars is an essential guide to the future of our planet that grippingly reveals just how far world powers are likely to go to ensure their own survival in an increasingly hostile environment.

“Nunca se trató de Iraq. Tampoco, en realidad se trató de los terroristas, aunque siguen allí. De repente, para gran sorpresa de casi todos, se trata del modo global en que manejamos el mundo”, dice

Very well-informed, splendidly provocative a must-read for the rich debates to come JONATHON PORRITTGlaciers are melting, sea levels are rising and weather is becoming more extreme. Most of us know the solution: cut our carbon emissions. Theres only one problem we arent doing it.So what else can we do?Over the past four years, Gwynne Dyer has spoken to dozens of the worlds leading climate scientists, asking them this question and listening to what they have to say.Should we copy volcanoes and squirt sulphates into the stratosphere to reflect the suns rays? Can we suck CO2 out of the air and bury it? Invent a clever way to prop up the Doomsday glacier? Or dam the North Sea? The ideas might seem outlandish, but these are desperate times.From fission power to fake meat, from the deep seas to the jet stream, Intervention Earth is a magisterial survey of the most creative scientific thinking on how we might still solvethe most frightening problem of our age.

READ IN A DAY. REMEMBER FOR A LIFETIME.In this timely addition to the bestselling Shortest History series, acclaimed writer and military expert Gwynne Dyer tells the story of war from its prehistoric -- perhaps pre-human -- origins to the present age of algorithms and atomic weapons.With the clarity and insight that have won his columns millions of readers around the world, Dyer chronicles warfares coming-of-age in the first cities; the rise of tyranny as humans multiply; the millennia of classicalcombat ended by the firearm and the carnage of the Thirty Years War; and the brief interlude of limited war before the popular revolutions of the 18th century ushered in the era of total war -- itself halted, for now, by Hiroshima.The final chapters deal with the precarious equilibrium of the past 75 years -- the longest peace between major powers in history -- and the threats posed by nuclear proliferation, global heating and superpower rivalry.This marvellously clear-sighted book is vital reading for anyone who wants to understand the role of war in the long human story: why we do it, and how we can stop.

"Estado Islámico. Al Qaeda. Al Nusra. Boko Haram. Retransmisión de ejecuciones en directo, destrucción televisada de patrimonio de la humanidad, uso masivo de las redes sociales para difundir proclamas incendiarias: el terrorismo islamista del siglo XXI consigue una presencia constante y masiva en los medios de comunicacion de todo el mundo. Pero, ¿quienes son en realidad? ¿Cuales son sus origenes? ¿Que pretenden?El experto en geopolitica e historia militar Gwynne Dyer expone los autenticos objetivos, funcionamiento e historia de ISIS, Al Qaeda y el resto de grupos revolucionarios islamistas que operan en Oriente Medio, y analiza las amenazas reales y las posibles respuestas de Occidente ante este fenomeno. Su conclusion es un mensaje claro y revelador: que no cunda el panico."

QUE NO CUNDA EL PÁNICOEstado Islámico. Al Qaeda. Al Nusra. Boko Haram. Retransmisión de ejecuciones en directo, destrucción televisada de patrimonio de la humanidad, uso masivo de las redes sociales para difundir proclamas incendiarias: el terrorismo islamista del siglo XXI consigue una presencia constante y masiva en los medios de comunicacion de todo el mundo. Pero, ¿quienes son en realidad? ¿Cuales son sus origenes? ¿Que pretenden?El experto en geopolitica e historia militar Gwynne Dyer expone los autenticos objetivos, funcionamiento e historia de ISIS, Al Qaeda y el resto de grupos revolucionarios islamistas que operan en Oriente Medio, y analiza las amenazas reales y las posibles respuestas de Occidente ante este fenomeno. Su conclusion es un mensaje claro y revelador: que no cunda el panico. Occidente debe dejar de sobreactuar ante la amenaza del terrorismo, y evitar repetir errores como la guerra de Irak.

NATIONAL BESTSELLERHistorian, journalist, and author Gwynne Dyer interviews the worlds top 100 climate scientists to discuss the extraordinary measures we must contemplate to counter the irreversible effects of climate change.The global climate emergency is now an alarming fact of life. Much as we still need to get emissions under control, many are thinking that its all too little, too late. As scientists, politicians and concerned citizens scramble for solutions to the catastrophic effects of a warming world, is it time to be exploring the controversial topic of geoengineering?For decades, discerning readers have turned to journalist and historian Gwynne Dyer for his unparalleled acumen in serving up hard geopolitical truths. Intervention Earth is built around Dyers interviews with one hundred climate scientists from around the globe, including the leading figures in the geoengineering field. One of the most interesting topics: the pros and cons of Solar Radiation Management, a possible planetary Hail Mary that is rife with political risks.But Intervention Earth is about more than technological mega-projects. Dyer devotes ample space to the many innovative ideas on offer, but there is no get-out-of-jail-free card. We will need a whole portfolio of techniques and technologiesand a lot of hard, thankless workto keep the planet hospitable for humanity.Whats more, many of the technologies that can help us avoid the worst outcomes require years of investment and development before they can be successfully deployed. Global cooperation will be key in implementing the life-saving strategies outlined in the book. With up-to-the-minute, breaking-news reporting Intervention Earth offers a probing, eye-opening look at the problems we face, and the innovations that just might keep us ahead of encroaching disaster and carry us to a safe harbour.

From one of the worlds great geopolitical analysts, a terrifying glimpse of the none-too-distant future, when climate change will force the worlds powers into a desperate struggle for advantage and even survival. Dwindling resources. Massive population shifts. Natural disasters. Spreading epidemics. Drought. Rising sea levels. Plummeting agricultural yields. Crashing economies. Political extremism. These are some of the expected consequences of runaway climate change in the decades ahead, and any of them could tip the world towards conflict. Prescient, unflinching, and based on exhaustive research and interviews, Climate Wars is one of the most important books of its years.

This essential collection contains the best of Gwynne Dyers writing on the postSeptember 11 world. Since 1973, writer, historian and filmmaker Gwynne Dyer has written a widely syndicated newspaper column on international affairs, regularly published in 45 countries. With Every Mistake is not only a collection of the very best of Dyers recent work, but an examination of how, time and again, the media skews fact and opinion, wielding formidable influence on how we all shape our own thoughts. And why is so much of the information wrong? Is it herd instinct, official manipulation, robber-baron owners with ideological obsessions or just the conflict between the inherently bitty, short-term nature of news reporting and analysis and the longer perspectives needed to understand what is actually going on? How much misinformation stems from simple ignorance and laziness?With Every Mistake combines an examination of how powerful owners mould the agendas of the press with a self-critique of Dyers own columns from the three and a half years between 9/11 and the January 2005 election in Iraq. How hard is it to get things right, and why do so many people in the media get things wrong?

Canada in the Great Power Game 1914-2014 is a serious contemplation of what it means to engage in major world conflicts, and the price we pay when we do. The First World War was Canadas baptism of fire, or at least the only one that people now remember. (Montrealers in 1776 or Torontonians in 1814 would have taken a different view.) From 1914 to 1918, after a century of peace, Canadians were plunged back into the old world of great power rivalries and great wars. So was everybody else, but Canadians were volunteers. We didnt have to fight, but we chose to, out of loyalty to ideas and institutions that today many of us no longer believe in. And we have been doing the same thing ever since, although we havent quite given up on the latest set of ideas and institutions yet. In Canada in the Great Power Game, Gwynne Dyer moves back and forth between the seminal event, the First World War, and all the later conflicts that Canada chose to fight in. He draws parallels between these conflicts, with the same idealism among the young soldiers, and the same deeply conflicted emotions among the survivors, surfacing time and again in every war right down to Afghanistan. And in each case, the same arguments pro and con arisemostly from people who are a long, safe way from the killing groundsfor every one of those "wars of choice." Echoing throughout the book are the voices of the people who lived through the wars: the veterans, the politicians, the historians, the eyewitnesses. And Dyer takes a number of so-called excursions from his historical account, in which he revisits the events and puts them in context, pausing to ask such questions as "What if we hadnt fought Hitler?" and "Is war written in our genes?" This entertaining and provocative book casts an unsparing eye over what happens when Canada and the great powers get in the war business, illuminating much about how we see ourselves on the world stage.

It took a quarter-century of bad strategy, including more than a dozen years of Western air attacks and invasions in the Middle East, to bring the so-called "Islamic State" into existence. Can we somehow manage to avoid the well-trodden path of overreacting to the provocations of Islamist extremists? With the rise of ISIS, a new style of terrorism that publicly gloats over acts of extreme cruelty has reawakened the fears of the global audience. But in Dont Panic, Gwynne Dyer argues that the advent of "Islamic State" and its clones does not substantially raise the risk of major terrorist attacks in Western countries. It does, however, pose a grave threat to the Arab countries of the Middle East. In Dont Panic, Dyer first explains why the Middle East has become the global capital of terrorism. He then examines how terrorist organisations in the Arab world have evolved over time, with particular emphasis on the events of the past fifteen years and the current situation in Syria and Iraq. And in the end Dyer departs from his long-standing position that foreign interventions always make matters worse to argue that a little military intervention of the right kind may avert a genocide in Syria. "When my information changes, I alter my conclusions," said John Maynard Keynes. "What do you do, sir?"

Los dos libros sobre cambio climático más impactantes de los últimos tiempos a un precio excepcional.En "Seis grados", premio de la Royal Society al mejor libro de divulgación científica, Mark Lynas nos descubre grado a grado los terribles efectos sobre el clima y la naturaleza que provocara el progresivo calentamiento global de nuestro planeta. Y en "Guerras climaticas", el experto en geopolitica mundial Gwynne Dyer analiza las secuelas politicas, sociales y militares que acarrearan dichos cambios: guerras, hambrunas, oleadas de refugiados Dos titulos que se complementan a la perfeccion para explicar las consecuencias del cambio climatico en un futuro muy cercano ¡si no se toman medidas de inmediato!"Seis grados es un manual apocaliptico sobre lo que nos deparara el calentamiento de la Tierra... informacion para reflexionar y para avergonzarse."Financial Times"Guerras climaticas auna disciplinas muy diversas para completar un analisis que ayuda a entender por que el cambio climatico crea un planeta mas inseguro."La Vanguardia

La guerra ha sido siempre un rasgo definitorio de la sociedad humana. El autor de esta breve y dinámica historia nos explica por qué es así y qué habría que hacer para poder cambiarlo. Gwynne Dyer, reconocido historiador y experto militar, nos cuenta la historia de la guerra desde sus origenes hasta nuestra epoca, con su armamento nuclear y sus algoritmos. En el libro se analizan los conflictos entre las primeras ciudades, la violencia a la que recurrian las antiguas tiranias, la era clasica de mil años de enfrentamientos, el punto de inflexion que supusieron las armas de fuego y la Guerra de los Treinta Años. Explica, asimismo, como el breve interludio previo a las revoluciones populares del siglo XVIII fue la antesala de la guerra total, y describe la devastacion absoluta en nuestros tiempos, que parecia haberse detenido tras la convulsion de Hiroshima. Estamos asistiendo a acontecimientos que amenazan con acabar con el periodo de paz entre las principales potencias mas largo de la historia moderna. Queda demostrado, con ello, que vivimos en un equilibrio precario, ya que la amenaza nuclear, el cambio climatico, la lucha por el control de las energias y, ahora mas que nunca, la rivalidad entre las superpotencias, representan peligros reales para toda la humanidad. Este libro, lucido y completo, es de obligada lectura para cualquiera que desee entender el papel que ha desempeñado la guerra en la historia y tambien como dejarla fuera de nuestro futuro.

LA TRILOGIA DEFINITIVA PER ENTENDRE EL CANVI CLIMÀTIC"Sis graus", premi de la Royal Society a la Divulgació Científica, és un estudi explosiu que investiga grau a grau els terribles efectes sobre el